Mac Market Newsletter Highlights Week 25

Mac Market Newsletter Highlights Week 25

Buyers stay cautious, while confident suppliers hold firm on prices amid tariff uncertainty.

Stable pricing holds:Trading was quiet this week, with most southern hemisphere suppliers continuing to focus on fulfilling orders. Average prices mostly eased, though Styles 0, 1S, and NIS20-22 showed some resilience.

Kernel remains preferred:
South Africa’s kernel exports to April are nearly matching last year’s levels, while NIS exports are lower. Suppliers continue to favour kernel due to stronger returns and greater control over timing.

Spreads flat, but signals shifting:
Price spreads remained steady, though a growing whole vs. halves-and-pieces kernel spread suggests cautious US buyers are stepping back from ingredient styles.

With the rate of new transactions subdued, focus is shifting to the July US tariff decision. South Africa’s future access to the US market hinges on ongoing negotiations. Meanwhile, Europe’s kernel stocks are being replenished, and China remains dependent on imports. Overall, supplier confidence is high, but markets await clarity on upcoming policy shifts.

The US dollar strengthened amid investor retreat to safe havens following renewed Middle East tensions, bringing volatility back to FX markets. Freight rates eased slightly as the post-US-China trade resumption surge wanes, but concerns over the Strait of Hormuz are driving caution among shippers, potentially keeping container costs high in the near term.

14 June 2025: Macadamias feature in global dessert competition, shining spotlight on premium styles.

4 June 2025: June market brief signals subdued trade, rising freight costs, and firm kernel sentiment.

16 June 2025: Kenyan exporter boosts investment in social and commercial impact projects.

16 June 2025: China confirms expanded tariff-free access for African goods.

16 June 2025: Analysts debate Africa’s readiness to seize open market offer.

18 June 2025: South Africa forecasts long-term crop expansion driven by sustained demand.

19 June 2025: Export data shows macadamia volumes on the rise from Kenya.

19 June 2025: Macadamia orchards embrace AI tractors to boost productivity and scale.

20 June 2025: African agri-experts call for new financing strategies to unlock sector growth.

24 June: Launch of new global sustainability certification tailored for the nut and dried fruit industry.

The full report for verified traders and subscribers includes:

  • Style-by-style price trend graphs
  • Freight & FX analysis
  • Buyer Import Volumes and Values
  • Exclusive industry analysis
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StyleQuantity (kg)ContainersAvg Opening Price (USD/kg EXW)
Style 188 452415.20 EXW
Style 1S51 030314.45 EXW
Style 217 010113.20 EXW
Style 4L398 0342511.51 EXW
Style 4S28 350311.60 EXW
Style 527 67029.00 EXW
Style 636 74237.57 EXW
Style 71 36117.20 EXW
Total648 6484211.62 EXW
Style CompositionQuantity (kg)Avg Opening Price (USD/kg EXW)
650 Bxs Style 5, 800 Bxs DP (6–14mm, diced pieces and halves, No Immature Nuts)16 443.006.64 EXW
Total16 443.006.64 EXW

Disclaimer:

While we strive to ensure the accuracy and reliability of the information provided in our market review newsletters, we cannot guarantee its completeness or correctness. The data and insights presented are based on the best available sources and our thorough analysis. However, market conditions can change rapidly, and unforeseen factors may impact the accuracy of this information. Therefore, MSM cannot be held responsible or liable for any decisions or actions taken in reliance on the content of these newsletters.

DISCLAIMER:

While we strive for accuracy and reliability in our market review newsletters, MSM cannot be held responsible for any decisions or actions based on the information provided, as market conditions can change rapidly

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