MSM Market Highlights

MSM Market Highlights | 20 July 2026

Public highlights from MSM Market Update | 2026-07-20
The market remains cautious, but quality, weather and relative value could shape a more active second half of 2026.

What Changed

Buyer caution still defines the market

Lower crop expectations in Australia have not removed the broader perception that macadamia supply remains ample.

Quality has become a watchpoint

Wet harvest conditions in major origins are raising questions over kernel yields, which may support stronger whole styles later in the year.

China’s expectations could change

Flooding in Guangxi creates uncertainty around domestic supply assumptions that have shaped selective offshore buying.

Stable value can create demand upside

Macadamias may become more attractive to ingredient users if supply and price stability contrast favourably with other tree nuts.

Freight remains unsettled

Shipping prices eased recently, but conflict, route disruption and peak demand still point to elevated logistics risk.

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Observed Pricing Context

Style-level kernel and NIS transaction averages, comparative periods and paid price-direction interpretation.

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Spread Trackers

Kernel-NIS and whole-versus-ingredient spread charts that show how market relationships are changing.

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FX And Freight Watch

Currency charts and freight-market interpretation for the current trading environment.

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Industry News Intelligence

Paid interpretation of market-relevant source signals for buyers, sellers and traders.

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